Best picture

Will win: Nomadland
Should win: Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Quo Vadis, Aida?

Best director

Will win: David Fincher for Mank
Should win: Chloé Zhao for Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Christopher Nolan for Tenet

Best actor

Will win: Anthony Hopkins for The Father
Should win: Anthony Hopkins for The Father
Shoulda been a contender: Lance Henriksen for Falling

Best actress

Will win: Vanessa Kirby for Pieces of a Woman
Should win: Frances McDormand for Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Rosamund Pike for I Care A Lot

Best supporting actor

Will win: Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah
Should win: Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah
Shoulda been a contender: Michael Stuhlbarg for Shirley

Best supporting actress

Will win: Amanda Seyfried for Mank
Should win: Youn Yuh-jung for Minari
Shoulda been a contender: Toni Collette for I’m Thinking of Ending Things

Best animated feature

Will win: Soul
Should win: Soul
Shoulda been a contender: Kill It and Leave This Town

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller for The Father
Should win: Chloé Zhao for Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Charlie Kaufman for I’m Thinking of Ending Things

Best original screenplay

Will win: Aaron Sorkin for The Trial of the Chicago 7
Should win: Emerald Fennell for Promising Young Woman
Shoulda been a contender: Andy Siara for Palm Springs

Best documentary

Will win: Time
Should win: Collective
Shoulda been a contender: Mother

Best international feature film

Will win: Another Round
Should win: Quo Vadis, Aida?
Shoulda been a contender: Dear Comrades!